{"id":3404,"date":"2011-11-16T19:29:46","date_gmt":"2011-11-16T11:29:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.visakanv.com\/blog\/?p=3404"},"modified":"2025-03-06T17:00:38","modified_gmt":"2025-03-06T17:00:38","slug":"what-do-you-do-if-you-are-a-self-fulfilling-prophet","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.visakanv.com\/archives\/2011\/11\/16\/what-do-you-do-if-you-are-a-self-fulfilling-prophet\/","title":{"rendered":"What do you do if you are a self-fulfilling prophet?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>What is the pragmatic course of action to take when you are aware that your prediction about the future (to simplify it) is going to influence it?<\/p>\n<p>If there was a single chief economist in the world (again, simplifying it) and everybody listened to him- and he said &#8220;I think banks are going to crash&#8221;- then everyone will rush to the banks and draw out all their money, and the banks will then crash.<\/p>\n<p>What do you do, as chief economist (again, simplifying it) of your own life? You could say &#8220;I do not know, I cannot know.&#8221; But then how? I would choose to say &#8220;It&#8217;s going to be awesome!&#8221;, despite knowing full well that it might very well not be.<\/p>\n<p><strong>BUT then and again, WE are the ones who decide what&#8217;s awesome and what&#8217;s not.<\/strong> Today I thought I was going to be stuck in camp for two more days because of other people&#8217;s mistakes. I decided that it was going to be awesome, that I was going to spend some quality time with myself, going to read, write, play guitar, think, smoke, etc. When I found out I&#8217;m going home&#8230; &#8220;It&#8217;s gonna be awesome!&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>This is a very interesting place to be in- because as an atheist, I&#8217;m actually choosing a position that is based on faith. A bit of faith in the universe, a bit of faith in probabilities and statistics, a bit of faith in myself, and a lot of faith in everything that I&#8217;ve been honoured to have had pass through me.<\/p>\n<p>(I realize it&#8217;s not a completely coherent step-by-step argument- perhaps I should formulate one- but I trust you know me well enough to connect the links)<\/p>\n<p>Sometimes the only way forward is to take a stab in the dark- logic and hindsight are worth little when you&#8217;re on the edge of chaos.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What is the pragmatic course of action to take when you are aware that your prediction about the future (to simplify it) is going to influence it? If there was a single chief economist in the world (again, simplifying it) and everybody listened to him- and he said &#8220;I think&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[747,773],"class_list":["post-3404","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-ayy","tag-ecology"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p5gxNz-SU","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.visakanv.com\/archives\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3404","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.visakanv.com\/archives\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.visakanv.com\/archives\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.visakanv.com\/archives\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.visakanv.com\/archives\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3404"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.visakanv.com\/archives\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3404\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14617,"href":"https:\/\/www.visakanv.com\/archives\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3404\/revisions\/14617"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.visakanv.com\/archives\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3404"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.visakanv.com\/archives\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3404"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.visakanv.com\/archives\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3404"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}