{"id":1792,"date":"2011-03-12T18:52:38","date_gmt":"2011-03-12T18:52:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/visaisahero.wordpress.com\/?p=1792"},"modified":"2015-02-18T07:39:03","modified_gmt":"2015-02-18T07:39:03","slug":"ezra-klein-on-common-mistakes-made-by-economists","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.visakanv.com\/archives\/2011\/03\/12\/ezra-klein-on-common-mistakes-made-by-economists\/","title":{"rendered":"Ezra Klein, on common mistakes made by economists"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"entryhead\">\n<div id=\"entryhead\">\n<blockquote>\n<h1><span style=\"font-size:13px;font-weight:normal;\">&#8220;Tyler Cowen has posted lists of mistakes he thinks common to\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.marginalrevolution.com\/marginalrevolution\/2011\/03\/in-which-ways-do-left-wing-economists-deny-or-refuse-to-recognize-science.html?utm_source=feedburner&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=Feed:+marginalrevolution\/hCQh+(Marginal+Revolution)\">left-wing economists<\/a> and\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.marginalrevolution.com\/marginalrevolution\/2011\/03\/fallacies-committed-by-right-wing-and-market-oriented-economists.html\">right-wing economists<\/a>. Both are worth reading, but they have a strong \u201cfrom one economist to another\u201d tone. So here\u2019s a list of mistakes that I think economists and people who are heavily influenced by economists tend to make when they look at politics. I should preface this by saying I have, at one point or another, been guilty of literally everything on this list:<\/span><\/h1>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n<blockquote>\n<div>\n<p>1. Political power matters. <strong>There are many outcomes that are <a class=\"zem_slink\" title=\"Economic efficiency\" rel=\"wikipedia\" href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Economic_efficiency\">economically efficient<\/a> in the short term but lead to a dangerous imbalance of political power in the long term \u2014 which is, incidentally, not economically efficient at all.<\/strong> This has particular implications for how a lot of economists view unions.<\/p>\n<p>2. Culture matters, as do the real ways that human beings behave. There are policies that fit with theory and evidence but not with communities and people. David Brooks is\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/brooks.blogs.nytimes.com\/2011\/03\/06\/hello\/\">right<\/a> about this.<\/p>\n<p>3. If a policy makes sense only in the presence of a secondary compensatory policy \u2014 say, a <a class=\"zem_slink\" title=\"Regressive tax\" rel=\"wikipedia\" href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Regressive_tax\">regressive tax<\/a> where low-income folks get some sort of refund \u2014 then you have to ask yourself whether the compensatory policy will pass. If the answer is no, then you need to come up with something that can pass or rethink your support for the policy. <strong>The fact that the losers of trade can theoretically be made whole doesn\u2019t allow you to just assume they will be made whole.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>4. Lots of policy problems can be solved with clever policy solutions. But Washington isn\u2019t very good at passing or implementing clever. <strong>Simple programs and rules are often better in practice, even if they\u2019re worse in theory.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>5. Nationalism is a really, really, really powerful force, and you can\u2019t make it go away by condescending to it.<\/p>\n<p><strong>6. \u201cTheory implies\u201d does not end arguments. <\/strong>Moreover, economic evidence should be treated with more humility. It\u2019s often overturned later, or wrongly understood now. And a lot of the stuff you\u2019ve told us in the past \u2014 particularly the recent past \u2014 didn\u2019t turn out that well.<\/p>\n<p><strong>7. Listen to political scientists, sociologists, etc. They have perspectives, evidence and training worthy of consideration.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>8. Policy arguments are often conscripted for political purposes. You may like Singapore\u2019s health-care system, and a politician might find Singapore\u2019s health-care system useful to invoke \u2014\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/yglesias.thinkprogress.org\/2011\/03\/what-about-singapore\/?utm_source=feedburner&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=Feed:+matthewyglesias+(Matthew+Yglesias)\">usually incorrectly<\/a>\u2014 in a speech against the Affordable Care Act, but before assuming the two of you are on the same side, try to figure out whether the congressman has introduced or co-sponsored legislation on this topic that you consider constructive. Nothing sadder than a policy expert who doesn\u2019t realize he\u2019s being played.<\/p>\n<p>9. No one knows what the word \u201cstochastic\u201d means.<\/p>\n<p>10. Odds are good that you primarily know one sort of person: highly educated, high-achieving, extremely cerebral, etc. <strong>Odds are also good that you give too much weight to feedback and ideas from this sort of person, while discounting arguments and complaints from people who don\u2019t know the right way to persuade you.<\/strong> Try to keep that in mind.<\/p>\n<p>Any more?&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<h1>As usual, I&#8217;m finding that economics, physics, biology, sociology, all forms of systems- all have immense philosophical value if you look at it with an open mind.<\/h1>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;Tyler Cowen has posted lists of mistakes he thinks common to\u00a0left-wing economists and\u00a0right-wing economists. Both are worth reading, but they have a strong \u201cfrom one economist to another\u201d tone. So here\u2019s a list of mistakes that I think economists and people who are heavily influenced by economists tend to make&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[30],"tags":[26],"class_list":["post-1792","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-commentary","tag-singapore"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p5gxNz-sU","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.visakanv.com\/archives\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1792","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.visakanv.com\/archives\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.visakanv.com\/archives\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.visakanv.com\/archives\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.visakanv.com\/archives\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1792"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.visakanv.com\/archives\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1792\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9245,"href":"https:\/\/www.visakanv.com\/archives\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1792\/revisions\/9245"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.visakanv.com\/archives\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1792"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.visakanv.com\/archives\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1792"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.visakanv.com\/archives\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1792"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}